UFC 270 predictions, odds, best bets: Brandon Moreno vs. Deiveson Figueiredo among top picks to consider

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UFC 270 goes down this Saturday in Anaheim, California, and as the first UFC pay-per-view of the year, there is plenty of big action ready to get 2022 off to a big start for fighters and gamblers alike.

In the night’s main event, heavyweight champion Francis Ngannou takes on interim champion Ciryl Gane. That’s not the only title fight on the card, with flyweight champion Brandon Moreno battling former champ Deiveson Figueiredo in the third meeting between the two elite 125-pound combatants.

For many, there’s no better way to add a little extra spice to a big night of fights than having a little money on the line. With so many intriguing fights on the card and so many close fights, it’s a great card to get in on some of the action.

Caesars Sportsbook has you covered with every angle of UFC 270 to get in on the action. We’re going to give you a few options to consider with this card from our favorite moneyline play, prop play and parlay play. Let’s take a closer look at those picks now.

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Best moneyline pick

Trevin Giles (+105) vs. Michael Morales

Morales is making his UFC debut after picking up a decision win on Dana White’s Contender Series. He’s undefeated with some good skills but moving up to the big stage has had a big impact on plenty of talented fighters. Giles is explosive and dangerous with some good wins in his career at middleweight. Giles was undersized at 185 pounds, however, and decided to move down to welterweight for the first time in his career. It’s not a massive weight cut for Giles, but it should leave him in an unfamiliar situation of being the bigger, stronger man for the first time in the UFC. Giles is a higher output fighter whose pressure is likely to bother Morales, making him an intriguing pick as a slight underdog.

Best prop pick

Rodolfo Vieira via submission (+120)

Vieira has eight wins as a professional fighter, seven of which have come via submission. That’s not a shock considering Vieira is a true high-level grappler, with multiple world championships in the grappling world. The one true knock on Vieira is his cardio. He suffered a submission loss in his lone defeat, largely because he gassed out hard against Anthony Hernandez. He rebounded against Dustin Stoltzfus by showing a more patient approach to the MMA game, using striking to help set up the eventual submission. That allowed Vieira to get the finish in the third round, showing he can extend his game beyond only a threatening first-round attack. Against Wellington Turman, Vieira should be able to have his way. Considering all that, getting Vieira via submission at +120 feels like a steal.

Best parlay pick

Said Nurmagomedov vs. Cody Stamann to go the distance: YES (-250)
Rodolfo Vieira vs. Wellington Turman to go the distance: NO (-250)
Brandon Moreno vs. Deiveson Figueiredo over 2.5 rounds (-200)

Parlay total: (+194)

Stamann has fought nine times in the UFC, with all but one of those fights going to decision. Nurmagomedov has finished two of his four UFC bouts, but seven of his previous 10 have gone to decision, making for a fairly clear first leg of the parlay. Similarly, Vieira has never seen the judges’ scorecards and only 40% of Turman’s fights have gone to decision. Finally, both meetings between Moreno and Figueiredo have gone over 2.5 rounds, including Moreno’s dominant showing in the rematch. There’s no reason to believe there will be a quick finish this time around and over 2.5 rounds feels safe here.

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